VCU
W-L: ( 8-24) PR = 93.4975Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1105 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 62-48 1109 H Villanova BE (25- 8, 96.3) 40-74 1114 A Maine AE (18-13, 94.1) 81-77 1117 A Howard MEAC (26- 8, 94.6) 69-66 1122 H Texas A&M SEC T (14-13, 96.3) 66-78 1124 H Colorado B12 (23-12, 96.4) 58-69 1125 H UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) 39-61 1203 H La Salle A10 (18-15, 94.3) 62-70 1207 H Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 63-81 1213 H Temple AME (15-17, 94.4) 63-88 1216 A American PAT ( 7-24, 92.0) 69-63 1219 H Georgia SEC (22-10, 96.8) 53-72 1220 H Penn St B10 (11-19, 95.5) 66-78 1231 H St Joseph's A10 (17-12, 94.8) 45-55 104 H George Mason A10 (24-10, 95.6) 58-68 107 A St Louis A10 (12-20, 93.7) 50-39 111 A Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 61-54 114 H Rhode Island A10 (28- 5, 96.1) 41-46 114 H Rhode Island A10 (28- 5, 96.1) 41-46 118 H Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 47-77 121 A George Wash A10 (18-17, 94.2) 63-60 124 H Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 51-66 128 A Fordham A10 ( 9-21, 92.8) 69-58 201 H Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 65-77 207 H Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 55-66 211 H Rhode Island A10 (28- 5, 96.1) 42-85 214 H St. Bonnies A10 (16-16, 93.8) 53-64 218 H Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 39-66 221 H Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 61-72 225 H La Salle A10 (18-15, 94.3) 54-71 228 H Dayton A10 (16-15, 94.3) 62-79 304 H Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 52-60
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1105 A MD-Ea Shore 62-48 14 0 1.88
1109 H Villanova 40-74 -34 -3 0.00
1114 A Maine 81-77 4 -1 + 2.57
1117 A Howard 69-66 3 -1 + 3.15
1122 H Texas A&M 66-78 -12 -3 0.00
1124 H Colorado 58-69 -11 -3 0.00
1125 H UT Arlington 39-61 -22 0 - -2.35
1203 H La Salle 62-70 -8 -1 -1.18
1207 H Jam Madison 63-81 -18 -2 0.00
1213 H Temple 63-88 -25 -1 -1.11
1216 A American 69-63 6 1 0.54
1219 H Georgia 53-72 -19 -3 0.00
1220 H Penn St 66-78 -12 -2 -0.03
1231 H St Joseph's 45-55 -10 -1 -0.68
104 H George Mason 58-68 -10 -2 0.00
107 A St Louis 50-39 11 0 + 2.22
111 A Duquesne 61-54 7 0 1.84
114 H Rhode Island 41-46 -5 -3 0.00
114 H Rhode Island 41-46 -5 -3 0.00
118 H Richmond 47-77 -30 -2 0.00
121 A George Wash 63-60 3 -1 + 2.75
124 H Davidson 51-66 -15 -2 -0.48
128 A Fordham 69-58 11 1 1.33
201 H Richmond 65-77 -12 -2 0.00
207 H Loyola Chic 55-66 -11 -1 -1.48
211 H Rhode Island 42-85 -43 -3 0.00
214 H St. Bonnies 53-64 -11 0 -1.76
218 H Davidson 39-66 -27 -2 -0.48
221 H Duquesne 61-72 -11 0 - -2.18
225 H La Salle 54-71 -17 -1 -1.18
228 H Dayton 62-79 -17 -1 -1.19
304 H Duquesne 52-60 -8 0 - -2.18
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1125 H UT Arlington 39-61 -22 0 - -2.35 221 H Duquesne 61-72 -11 0 - -2.18 304 H Duquesne 52-60 -8 0 - -2.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 A Maine 81-77 4 -1 + 2.57 1117 A Howard 69-66 3 -1 + 3.15 107 A St Louis 50-39 11 0 + 2.22 121 A George Wash 63-60 3 -1 + 2.75 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 62-48 -6.54 4.42 0.01 0.95 8.41
3 H Villanova (25- 8, 96.3) 40-74 -3.60 7.36 -0.01 0.95 -1.71
3 A Maine (18-13, 94.1) 81-77 -5.84 5.12 0.01 0.95 9.73
3 A Howard (26- 8, 94.6) 69-66 -5.27 5.69 0.01 0.95 10.82
3 H Texas A&M (14-13, 96.3) 66-78 -3.58 7.38 -0.01 0.95 -1.70
3 H Colorado (23-12, 96.4) 58-69 -3.52 7.44 -0.01 0.95 -1.67
3 H UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) 39-61 -6.75 4.21 -0.01 0.95 -3.20
3 H La Salle (18-15, 94.3) 62-70 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 0.95 -2.65
3 H Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 63-81 -4.25 6.71 -0.01 0.95 -2.02
3 H Temple (15-17, 94.4) 63-88 -5.50 5.46 -0.01 0.95 -2.61
3 A American ( 7-24, 92.0) 69-63 -7.88 3.08 0.01 0.95 5.87
3 H Georgia (22-10, 96.8) 53-72 -3.13 7.83 -0.01 0.95 -1.49
3 H Penn St (11-19, 95.5) 66-78 -4.43 6.53 -0.01 0.95 -2.10
3 H St Joseph's (17-12, 94.8) 45-55 -5.07 5.89 -0.01 0.95 -2.41
3 H George Mason (24-10, 95.6) 58-68 -4.29 6.67 -0.01 0.95 -2.04
3 A St Louis (12-20, 93.7) 50-39 -6.19 4.77 0.01 0.95 9.06
3 A Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 61-54 -6.57 4.39 0.01 0.95 8.35
3 H Rhode Island (28- 5, 96.1) 41-46 -3.83 7.13 -0.01 0.95 -1.82
3 H Rhode Island (28- 5, 96.1) 41-46 -3.83 7.13 -0.01 0.95 -1.82
3 H Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 47-77 -3.97 6.99 -0.01 0.95 -1.89
3 A George Wash (18-17, 94.2) 63-60 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.95 10.06
3 H Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 51-66 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 0.95 -2.32
3 A Fordham ( 9-21, 92.8) 69-58 -7.08 3.88 0.01 0.95 7.37
3 H Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 65-77 -3.97 6.99 -0.01 0.95 -1.89
3 H Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 55-66 -5.87 5.09 -0.01 0.95 -2.79
3 H Rhode Island (28- 5, 96.1) 42-85 -3.83 7.13 -0.01 0.95 -1.82
3 H St. Bonnies (16-16, 93.8) 53-64 -6.15 4.81 -0.01 0.95 -2.92
3 H Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 39-66 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 0.95 -2.32
3 H Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 61-72 -6.57 4.39 -0.01 0.95 -3.12
3 H La Salle (18-15, 94.3) 54-71 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 0.95 -2.65
3 H Dayton (16-15, 94.3) 62-79 -5.58 5.38 -0.01 0.95 -2.65
3 H Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 52-60 -6.57 4.39 -0.01 0.95 -3.12
------
14.95
|
winning pts = 69.6798 losing points = -54.7288
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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